Security Guard

Who is the Security Guard (23/04/08)

During the election campaign last month, DAP came out with an impressive theory : “MCA is the security guard of UMNO, must beat MCA first before defeating his master”.

According to the Secretary General of DAP, Lim Guan Eng, if voters want to hit off UMNO, then first, they must support DAP to kick off MCA, which according to him is the security guard of UMNO.

MCA President, Datuk Seri Ong Ka Ting the next day response wisely, he admit that MCA is a security guard but not for UMNO but for Malaysian Chinese. According to Ka Ting, MCA will put it best effort to secure the Chinese rights and interest in this country.

After 8 March when People Coalition (or opposition parties before this) able to deny BN with two third majority and won five states administrative power, it is worth a look back to the Security Guard theory originated by Guan Eng.

With the great lost of all major component parties: MCA, MIC and Gerakan, it is not difficult to see that UMNO (who is still a major party, thank to UMNO Sabah great performance) is having trouble by it self.

It is seem that the “Security Guard” theory put forward by Guan Eng is true when the big lost experience by components party is contributing (if not causing) to the unstable of the position of Prime Minister and also President of UMNO.

All major component party that suffered a great lost pointing their fingers toward UMNO and some of its leaders. Not openly but there is many hints on it.

Gerakan advisor, Datuk Seri Lim Keng Yaik a few days after the elections asked Pak Lah to think as deeply as possible on the great lost of BN.

During the close door session of brain storming by MCA, the “content” is a open secret to most Malaysian especially the Chinese, which MCA are pointing fingers towards UMNO on their lost in 25 Parliament seats. Such thing also confirmed by MCA ex Deputy, Datuk Seri Chua Soi Lek.

Unable to secure the support of major component parties creating more opportunities for UMNO leaders who is not please with Abdullah several policies.

For this is the first time, Perikatan or BN unable to secure the votes from almost all races (except Sabah and Sarawak aborigines)

During 1969, UMNO although lost Kelantan but still able to secure its support in other states while MCA lost Chinese Votes. During 1990, MCA and Gerakan suffer quite a great lost also, but UMNO again is strong.

In 1999, UMNO facing a set back especially in the East Coast due to Anwar’s factors, but BN however manage to gain victory in Chinese and Indians constituencies while opposition leaders like Lim Kit Siang and Karpal Singh lost in Penang.

In 2008, BN however lost support among all race, this is a “breakthrough” for it, such thing never happen before 2008.

Due to such condition, it is imaginable when we saw the rising power of several UMNO leaders and not forgetting the Monarch of several state.

For the first time ever, there is conflict between PM and Monarch on the selection of Menteri Besar in two states-Terengganu and Perlis while several grass root UMNO leaders shouted out urge PM to resign.

At the end, the main issue face by UMNO now is the leadership transition scheme. UMNO is clearly weak and unstable. It is even become weaker when there are rumours saying that Rakyat Coalition will take over soon.

But! Is it undeniable that MCA is security guard of UMNO base on current situation? Yes for now! But the theory is still testable.

Bear in mind that UMNO it self is suffering a great lost! It lost Kedah and Perak and unable to conquer Kelantan.

If we want to conclude Guan End’s theory then we must wait until one time when UMNO recovered while MCA, Gerakan and MIC remain weak. Then we will able to see whether UMNO is still strong when MCA, MIC and Gerakan is weak.

Will that day come? Wait and see lah..